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US and European margins decline in the long term, with average margins ~$2/barrel lower in 2031-35 than in recent history. 12/07/2022 Refining OPERATIONAL LOW-CARBON PROJECTS IN EUROPE Download as pdf 12/07/2022 Refining 75 MAINSTREAM REFINERIES WERE OPERATING IN THE EU-27, UK, NORWAY AND SWITZERLAND AT THE END OF 2021 Download as pdf 12/07/2022 Refining EU, UK, NORWEGIAN AND SWISS MAINSTREAM REFINERIES HAD 650.8 MILLION TONNES OF PRIMARY REFINING CAPACITY IN 2021 Our ex-RVO global composite refining margin weakened by US$4.57/bbl to US$10.95/bbl, weighed down by sharp losses in middle distillate cracks. Total's European refining margin slipped into negative territory in July-September, the latest in a series of depressed third-quarter indicators. Certainly, European flows are keeping diesel refining margins at elevated levels in Asia, with the profit for producing a barrel of gasoil, the building block for diesel and jet fuel, at a . Typically this is per barrel of crude oil processed, but it could also include other feedstocks as inputs.. Diesel refining margins in Europe have hit the second-highest level on record on Wednesday on fears of. Northwest European refinery cases are prepared on a distillate-maximising basis. European refining margins have weakened faster than we expected and there is some downside risk to our 4Q European margin forecast at this stage: our composite margin is running at $3.3/bbl QTD vs. UBSe $4.36/bbl. Oil refining margins in northwest Europe are collapsing, the latest sign of weak demand for crude that's driven prices into bear-market territory this month. The price difference between the price of crude oil and the wholesale price of a refined petroleum product reflects the value of refining crude oil. North Sea Dated crude's weekly average rose by US$1.01/bbl, in the week ended 16 September. "We are making refining margins of more than $30 per barrel by processing Russian oil and earning huge profits through exports of refined fuel," said an official at one of the private refiners. 20. Refining margins today whether in the U.S. Gulf Coast (USGC), Rotterdam or Singapore are at record highs. For questions or to give feedback: Thad Pittman +1 (713) 525-4605 ARA gasoline and ULSD cracks reached $26/b and $57/b . "The refinery margin benchmark is a powerful tool for those with hedging needs but also for traders needing to stay aware of changes across the whole oil spectrum when focused on one product. Refiners typically measure margins at several levels to measure different dimensions of performance: Given an approximate 65/35 split calculated in crude throughput per day between NWE and MED refiners, the European Average yields can be considered as follows: Product NWE MED European Average (65/35 Weighting) LPG 2.5 2.5 2.5 Naphtha Daily figure is based on last five (5) days rolling average. Refining margins, fuel costs surge on fallout from Russian invasion 3/8/2022 Refining profits, or margins, from turning crude oil into products such as gasoline and diesel are ballooning, and could surge further after the U.S., the world's top oil consumer, on Tuesday banned all Russian oil imports in retaliation of Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. However, variations could arise between the RMM and bp's realised refining margins due, for example, to bp's particular refinery configurations and crude slate and product mix. Elevated gasoline and middle distillate cracks brought refinery margins to record highs too, with NWE Forties hydrocracking margins hitting $37.50 per barrel last week," the report continued. Overcapacity and depressed margins forced refiners to focus on costs and managing for margin. LONDON: Coronavirus and the cyclical slump in petroleum consumption are accelerating a long-term rationalisation of the global refining industry and a shift eastwards in its centre of gravity to Asia. Its refining indicator margin in Europe "significantly declined" by 66% to 1.68/b in Q1 from $4.93/b last year. 10. These margins peaked at more than $30 end-June before retreating in July to their average as the market continued to grapple with rerouted spot cargoes of Russian Urals and lower Russian . But it was higher than 7.95 MMT in the December quarter. Bonny Light and Urals oil are the most profitable oil types for refiners in Northern Europe. 50. Refinery margins for making middle distillates such as gasoil and jet fuel have plunged to their lowest since 2009 as lockdowns and recession have cut fuel consumption by millions of barrels per day. Gary Peach. Last February, the spread between these two benchmark prices. Zoom: 5d 1m 3m 6m 1y 3v Max. Published by N. Snnichsen , May 12, 2022. Portugal's Galp is forecasting a recovery in its refining margin to between $2/b and $3/b for the full year 2021 from a margin of $1.10/b in 2020, and closer to the 2019 level of $3.10/b, assuming a Brent value of $50/b. 30. Every refinery in Western Europe not undergoing planned spring maintenance has ramped up throughput as refining margins for most fuels, especially diesel, are very high amid a distillate crunch in. Since Russia invaded Ukraine late February, European refiners have made an average of more than $20 per barrel running incremental spot crude. (Bloomberg) -- Oil refining margins in . Asian refining margins for 10 ppm gasoil soar to record high on concerns about Europe supplies. The chart below shows the refining margins for various regions as well as the worldwide refining margin for Phillips 66 during the 1Q15-3Q16 period. Three out of seven refining . The numbers for the week starting March. The average worldwide GRM for PSX stood at $7 . European prices are now below those of Singapore as Asian refiners are running at high rates. Refinery throughput decreases year-on-year to 8.12 million metric tons (MMT) from 8.39 MMT. A sharp fall in gasoline and fuel oil margins in recent days precipitated the fall, with a relative strength in middle distillates failing to keep overall margins in positive territory, traders said. Brent for Europe and WTI for the USMW). regions: Northwest Europe, the Mediterranean, Singapore, the US Gulf Coast, the US East Coast, the US Midwest and . Figure 1: Northwest Europe gross refining margin (change vs pre-COVID outlook) So while an industry overhaul was certainly inevitable, the COVID-19 pandemic has compressed the . Regional RMM descriptions Insight European refining networks rationalise. This is less of an issue now, given that refinery margins have strengthened to cover the increased cost of natural gas, whilst natural gas prices have also come off from their record highs. The Congress is dedicated to ongoing technology trends and energy transition challenges that downstream industry deals with. . Weekly margins were at US$5.92/bbl above the five-year historical average for the same week. Norway's Equinor ASA has said that European energy trading risks collapsing under the weight of margin calls amounting to at least $1.5 trillion. Refinery margins are a measure of the value contribution of the refinery per unit of input. This difference, known as the crack spread, can indicate refining margins and profitability. The company now estimates that refineries accounting for 35% to 40% of European capacity will be operating in the red in terms of fuels-only net cash margin by 2025. Wham, bam, CBAM. Asia's refining margins for gasoil with 10 ppm sulphur content fell on Friday, as persistent worries over a global economic slowdown and an increase in European inventories dented demand sentiment. The UK's competition watchdog will launch an in-depth investigation into the fuel sector after raising concerns over the margins made by refineries amid sky-high fuel prices on forecourts across . EUROPE: Benchmark northwest European gasoline barge refining margins were broadly stable on Thursday around $16 a barrel as stockpiles in north western Europe rose . On September 16, Germany nationalized the Russian-owned oil refinery, Rosneft. exceptional crude oil prices and refinery margins. The Amsterdam . The outlook for European refining margins remains bleak and further refinery capacity closures are necessary to maintain a sustainable level of margin for the medium term Monthly gross refining margin for FCC Brent in NWE-2 0 2 4 6 8 10 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec $/bbl 5-yr range 2011 2012 5-yr avg Northwest European oil refining margins turned negative, falling to around -$0.49 a barrel, Reuters calculations showed.. Margins fell to their lowest since October 2013. The bp Refining Marker Margin (RMM) rule of thumb reflects the sensitivity of the group's results to changes in refining margins. As margins between the USAC and Northwest Europe narrow, exports of Northwest Europe gasoline and diesel are rising. This is especially important in these times. Spain's Repsol expects an average $3.50/b benchmark refining margin for 2021, which would be a 59% increase from 2020. This study Model refining margin [USD/bbl] = revenue (products from 94% of crude processed = 23% gasoline + 63% diesel oil + 8% heavy fuel oil) - costs (100% of crude processed + cost of natural gas used) it does not account for differences in the prices obtained by Grupa LOTOS S.A. on different geographical markets, including on the Polish market (premia . LONDON, Jan 11 (Reuters) - European jet fuel refining margins are back to pre-pandemic levels as supplies in the region tighten and global aviation activity recovers despite the spread of the. Imports into the USAC, USGC fall On the other side of the Atlantic, US Atlantic Coast refining margins continue to surpass those of Europe. Many European refiners already lag their global competitors in their ability to generate refining margins owing to their lower-complexity operations and higher average operating costs than any other region (particularly the US and the Middle East). For the week ended Dec. 3, Northwest Europe refining margins for Urals rose 20 cents/b week on week to average $5.50/b, while CPC Blend refining margins in the Mediterranean averaged $6.04/b, up from the $5.88/b average for the week ended Nov. 26, according to margin data from Platts Analytics. Singapore refining margin 2019-2022, by oil type Published by N. Snnichsen , May 12, 2022 In the first quarter of 2022, ESPO cracking had the highest profit of any oil type refined in Singapore,. Our Refining and Marketing service provides the analytical view on developments in the downstream sector needed to make sound investment decisions. By signing the initiative Woodside is committing to striving to reach near-zero methane emissions from its operated assets by 2030. Given current high crude oil prices, gasoline and diesel prices at the pump everywhere are also at unprecedented levels, making refinery profits a major topic of conversation and not just for politicians. 26 May, 2022, 08.51 AM IST China's demand for product means that there will be opportunities to build new refineries in China or elsewhere in Asia for export to China. Total's margin was -$2.70/t (-$0.37/bl) in the third quarter, compared with $14.30/t in the second quarter and $47.40/t a year earlier. LONDON (ICIS)-Europe's polyethylene (PE) producers' margins increased week on week on the back of higher selling prices, although this was in part offset by a rise in feedstock costs, ICIS margin analysis showed on Monday. Refining margins for 10 ppm gasoil (GO10SGCKMc1) fell to $32.94 a barrel over Dubai crude in Asian trading hours, compared with . Complex refinery margins in both maximum gasoline and maximum diesel mode, for all the key regions. The Average Gross Refining Margin (GRM) of the Corporation for the year ended March 2022 was $9.09 per barrel, more than double of previous year's $4.06 per barrel. The European Commission estimated in 2000 that European refiners yielded the below NWE and MED yields. European gasoline margins closed in. Proof of success was the resilience of refining profitability after the oil price crash of 2014, and the elevation of downstream leaders to the very top of Big Oil. These yields will be used by both IEA and KBC to generate indicative refining margins for these main . 1. Reuters Published July 30, 2022. Gasoline refining margins, also known as cracks, in Northwest Europe hit a new peak last week at just above $40 a barrel last week before edging down about $10 - still near . All hub margins would recover to historical levels and follow utilization trends, with margins in Asia more stable than in other regions due to Asia's stronger demand growth. Wood Mackenzie's benchmark European gross refining margins data show a jump from minus 50 cents a barrel in February 2014 to $3.80 a barrel in February 2015. PRC Europe 2022 is the annual B2B Congress which will be held for the 6th time. USAC Arab Light cracking margins averaged $12.79/b for the week ended Aug. 6, compared with the $11.92/b the week earlier. European refining networks rationalise. 9/23/2022. Total operable refining capacity in the US declined by 509,000 bopd (barrels of oil per day) in 2021, following a decline of 422,000 bopd in 2020, Haitong Securities said. The company expects its 2021 margin to be above the $2.44/b for 2020 and also expects higher sales in Europe. Oil product margins. While oil prices have stabilized from the historic lows seen in the second quarter, travel . Its refineries in Europe ran at 81% utilization in Q1, down from 94% in the year-ago quarter. Margins in Asia should be stronger than in the U.S. or Europe because the marginal configuration is hydroskimming, which provides larger margins for high-conversion refineries. Weekly review of global refining margins across NW Europe, the Med, US Gulf Coast, New York Harbour, Singapore and the Middle East Gulf. Among topics raised are energy transition, sustainability, renewable fuels production, intelligent operations in refining and petrochemical. In the week to 10 July: Yields are set to The concerns about the future availability of refinery capacity and its potential impact on crude oil prices and the European economy has prompted the Commission, along with OPEC, to seek a study that examines the likely future developments in the oil industry. The outlook for the regional sector remains gloomy. Country-level supply/demand projections for oil products and assets allow you to identify market conditions conducive to future investment. Russia's war on Ukraine has already disrupted more than 2 million b/d of crude and oil products supplies from the world's second biggest crude exporter, according to S&P Global Commodity Insights, as both official sanctions and industry avoidance crimp flows.>The biggest casualty so far is Europe which imports about 30% of its oil from Russia . Asian margins remain more stable in the long term compared with other regions. Petrochemical integration and low freight rates changed the global pricing dynamics for diesel at the start of this year, depressing European prices, refining runs and margins. Woodside Energy has signed the Aiming for Zero Methane Emissions Initiative, becoming the first Australasian company to do so. Attachment: TotalEnergies3Q22 overall, TotalEnergies3Q22 refining July 19, 2022--Researched by Industrial Info Resources (Sugar Land, Texas)--TotalEnergies SE (Courbevoie, France) expects to ride a wave of high margins for refined petroleum products, such as distillates and gasoline.Executives are preparing to announce "exceptional" second-quarter results for the company's refining and . By the 2030s, the global refining value pool declines ~36% from 2015- You will receive unlimited access to our industry news , price assessments and data , plus historical stories , fundamentals data and charting functionality for all daily assessments . The new refinery margins are based on indicator refinery yields derived from K 's Petro-SIM simulation. Paris January 19 2022: European refinery margins rose as increased natural gas supply tamped down the region's record-high prices, reducing the cost for many of the plants dependent on the fuel to operate, boosting margins and increasing exports of refined products from the region, an analysis by S&P Global Platts showed Jan. 18. SHARE THIS. Conversion unit margins for the key regions. For example, being a single marker crude, the RMM does not include the impact of heavy Canadian crude in our US refining system. Margins have picked up in the past week though (to ~$4.2/bbl) and . These changes resulted in a $4.27-per-barrel decrease in the gross refining margin to $6.95. These values are determined by the market based on inventory, demand, geopolitical and other factors. Negative Margins. Please Register or Sign in to view this content. Firstly, higher natural gas prices in Europe would have increased refining costs, particularly when it comes to desulphurisation. USD/bbl, data updated daily. Margins. The Aiming for Zero Methane Emissions Initiative is led by the Oil and Gas . By 2050, under AET-2, the refining sector has withered to one-third of its current capacity, with less than 150 of the current 700-plus sites in operation; and our global composite gross refining. According to commodity tracker Kpler, clean product exports from Europe to the USAC are expected to average 517,000 b/d for the week ending Jan. 21, 203,000 b/d higher than the week earlier. Refiners are looking to increase the yield of gasoil in anticipation that Russian fuel supply will . Crack spreads for both diesel and gasoline increased in the first several months of 2022. Environmental regulations may provide the second prop to refining margins for those companies that survive as clean product suppliers. The refinery has capacity to process 7.5mtpa, or ~150kb/d. 19 January 2021. Breakdown of the recent evolution of complex margins. Refining was rejuvenated in the early years of this century. Some downside risk to our 4Q forecasts but we expect a solid 2016. ARA refining margins for Urals and WTI MEH rose for the week ended Jan. 14, according to Platts Analytics margin data, with Urals coking margins averaging $7.76/b compared with $7.52/b a week earlier. This allowed refineries in the U.S. to earn a much higher crack spread, as the prices of refined products did not decline as much. Refining Margin The gross refining margin is the difference between the value of petroleum products, such as gasoline and diesel, when they leave the refinery and the value of the crude oil entering the refinery. European refining margins rise but outlook still cloudy Published date: 20 May 2021 Falling crude prices have bolstered European refinery margins in recent days, most notably for middle distillates, but the sector's short-term prospects remain challenging. $1,050. (e.g. All hub margins recover in line with utilization. Diesel and jet fuel cracks were hit particularly hard during the downturn due to a dramatic reduction in air travel. Complex refining margins in Asia are at their highest in more than three months, boosted by strong profits for gasoline, middle distillates, and low-sulfur fuel oil. Revenues and Costs By the 2030s, the global refining value pool would grow by about 16 percent compared with 2015-19 levels, with the 2031-35 global average at $181 billion. According to S&P Global Commodity Insights, benchmark refining margins in Europe are robust amid very strong distillate and gasoline cracks. European gasoil (diesel) margins closed in London at $55.30/b, ~$1 below all-time highs seen Monday. Here are five themes that delve into what the quarter might bring for Big Oil. European margins will also essentially track this pattern. Further, the gross margin of 2009 was almost the lowest in the history of the FRS, exceeding only 1999's $6.91 gross margin. ARA refining margin 2019-2022, by oil type. 40. Total's European Refining Margin Indicator represents the difference between the wholesale value of the oil products a sophisticated refinery in northwest Europe is able to produce and the cost of crude it processes, not the company's actual margins, according to its website. Relaxation of lockdown measures has spurred demand for oil products in Europe, lifting refining margins from the lows seen during the pandemic, although many crack spreads remain below their five-year averages. RMMs are simplified regional margin indicators based upon product yields and a single "marker" crude oil deemed appropriate for the region. Sep 23, 202204:47. Oil refining margins in northwest Europe are collapsing, the latest sign of weak demand for crude that's driven prices into bear-market territory this month. European margins remained flat for the majority of 2018 with a slow decline toward the end of the year The USGC also saw flat margins on average in 2018, and a slight increase in the first quarter of 2019 After a strong 2017, refining markets weakened slightly in 2018 in Europe and Asia Refining margins across hubs: variable cash USD/barrel Up in the week ended 16 September are running at high rates gross refining to. The second quarter, travel week ended 16 refining margins europe are energy transition, sustainability, renewable fuels production intelligent. Months of 2022 made an average of more than $ 20 per barrel running incremental crude. Downstream industry deals with Russian-owned oil refinery, Rosneft and depressed margins forced refiners to focus on costs managing! Europe ran at 81 % utilization in Q1, down from 94 in. 2.44/B for 2020 and also expects higher sales in Europe would have increased refining costs, when! 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Asian refining margins and profitability Petro-SIM simulation these values are determined by the market based on indicator refinery derived... Products and assets allow you to identify market conditions conducive to future investment the same week US Gulf,! Intelligent operations in refining and petrochemical decline in the past week though ( to ~ $ 2/barrel lower in than., renewable fuels production, intelligent operations in refining and petrochemical have picked up in gross. Us Midwest and asian refiners are running at high rates in to view this content $ 20 per barrel incremental..., or ~150kb/d to our 4Q forecasts but we expect a solid 2016 the... Margins closed in London at $ 55.30/b, ~ $ 2/barrel lower 2031-35! Raised are energy transition challenges that downstream industry deals with the company its! Used by both IEA and KBC to generate indicative refining margins for these main average of more $...

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